Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 25.375708 28.863010 32.676889 37.161098 42.293916 47.991261 54.802578
2025-01-05 19.946219 24.608903 30.154730 37.252933 46.120292 56.862806 70.911289
2025-01-12 15.953930 21.003571 27.427378 36.232530 48.042486 63.411663 85.055011
2025-01-19 13.365968 18.571109 25.574029 35.740363 50.217538 70.236017 100.264780
2025-01-26 11.991679 17.464646 25.197694 37.005930 54.735626 80.609202 121.675408
2025-02-02 11.049615 16.781827 25.243392 38.763409 60.055235 92.680156 147.191598
2025-02-09 9.991743 15.752159 24.593616 39.306062 63.491026 102.216517 170.006862
2025-02-16 8.833078 14.398810 23.245752 38.515737 64.609289 108.092620 187.512229
2025-02-23 7.891692 13.267840 22.094862 37.857060 65.782485 114.088399 205.903040
2025-03-02 7.121115 12.322758 21.126094 37.355399 67.102901 120.406562 225.620373
2025-03-09 6.537714 11.627438 20.493270 37.342689 69.247981 128.384294 249.434828
2025-03-16 6.019800 10.986726 19.877587 37.268924 71.234342 136.250832 274.049187
2025-03-23 5.732045 10.751769 20.000369 38.654689 76.307312 150.907837 315.031125
2025-03-30 5.328070 10.255614 19.585681 38.959536 79.309435 161.923973 350.288143
2025-04-06 4.817797 9.496985 18.582978 37.964804 79.522726 167.252203 374.063484
2025-04-13 4.422985 8.921897 17.873703 37.474948 80.710141 174.743995 403.774914
2025-04-20 4.252466 8.782750 18.025517 38.815213 86.029796 191.933772 458.758964
2025-04-27 4.140365 8.751757 18.394589 40.666823 92.729049 213.130251 526.870305
2025-05-04 3.923210 8.472127 18.203372 41.238885 96.548116 228.151023 582.040655
2025-05-11 3.612736 7.955670 17.441742 40.408358 96.926841 234.977577 617.149816
2025-05-18 3.342748 7.502111 16.772889 39.715948 97.549425 242.478724 655.289052
2025-05-25 3.109533 7.108907 16.200744 39.188537 98.514611 250.971134 697.572469
2025-06-01 2.931169 6.825443 15.853986 39.175197 100.794261 263.183444 752.471505